Nokia in Merrill Lynch's Top
10 picks for 2016
An arbitration to set royalty payments from Samsung could yield
a bunch of cash. From the article:
"Nokia was
added to the Top 10 EMEA Ideas List, as its first-quarter catalyst
is the Samsung IPR arbitration, where consensus expectations of
cE300m p.a./E1.5bn 5yr royalty payment seem conservative. Merrill
Lynch also believes that Nokia’s management team may
raise Alcatel-Lucent
S.A. (NYSE: ALU) deal synergy guidance from €900 million and
could increase expected cash returns.
The balance sheet should remain overcapitalized —
assuming the Samsung patent arbitration materializes at least
inline with our expectations and all ALU convertible debt is
converted into equity, we see end-2016 net cash of approximately
10.5 billion euro or 1.8 euro per share. Our 12-month price
objective of 9.3 euro implies 44% upside potential. Our scenario
analysis over a 18 month to 24 month view of potential deal
synergies suggests further upside: should Nokia execute on deal
synergies, we believe the market may pay 14 times ex-cash P/E on
2018 EPS in 2017."
Full article:
http://247wallst.com/investing/2016/01/05/why-merrill-lynch-sees-nokia-and-rio-tinto-much-better-in-2016-international-picks-list/
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