EBAY Message Board

 

Wang Jing
09/20/11.2:02.AM

Off Topic Shape The authentic bag’s shape...

62

 

Bob Carano
04/06/11.1:07.PM

Only use options on this stock. This ...

50

 

Perry Rod
01/21/09.4:24.PM

News EBay reported a quarter that beat the...

329

 

Perry Rod
01/14/09.11:34.AM

Analysis Ebay is a great case in point about t...

268

 

Gilbert Gonzalez
09/24/08.6:27.PM

News EBay Inc. executives said Thursday th...

140

 

Gilbert Gonzalez
09/24/08.6:23.PM

News Ebay execs are at it again, raising t...

160

Ebay, Inc. Featured Analysis

 

eBay Reports Results and Investors Continue to Sell

by Perry Rod, Published: January 21st, 2009 4:29 PM CST

EBay (EBAY) reported a quarter that beat the street view.  But that wasn't enough for after hours traders, who were focused on their light forcast of .32-.34 non-GAAP earnings, which would be over 20 percent below last year's first quarter.

Ebay's stock has been a major victim of the economic turmoil.  Even if eBay were to report earnings this year that are 20% below the previous year, that would translate into a P/E ratio of about 9.25 given the current $12.50 price in the after market.  That would not even factor in the over $3.00 in cash that eBay has held onto.

But today's market has proven to be unforgiving, even to a business with no significant direct competition.  Yahoo (YHOO)'s auction business failed while Overstock (OSTK)'s auction business is still very young.  eBay's model has proven to have a high barrier of entry due to eBay's tremendous scale.  However, investors are wondering why Amazon is doing so well while eBay struggles to grow with the current economic environment.

One reason may be that eBay is a trading site that is more dependent on merchants than Amazon, for example, and many merchants are simply going out of business.  But some are likely worried that there is an even greater existential risk for online auctions as a whole, since it is still a relatively young phenomenon.  One thing is certain.  If eBay's struggles are temporary, it will prove to be a major buying opportunity for a stock that not too long ago was trading at multiples more than three times the current enterprise value.  Despite its troubles, eBay still looks like an undisputed market leader.

Ebay, Inc. SELECTED ARTICLES

 

As All Eyes Focus on Amazon.com and Wal-Mart Stores, While Apple, Macy's and GameStop C...
Unique visitor estimates at Compete.com show that internet traffic in the month of Nove...

 

eBay Reports Results and Investors Continue to Sell
EBay (EBAY) reported a quarter that beat the street view.  But that wasn't enough ...

 

Never Underestimate a Virtual Monopoly Like eBay
Ebay (EBAY) may be a great case in point about the current state of market valuation an...

Market Rap's All Time Top EBAY Pickers

  Rank Return Last Action Trades Name Pic
 

1

23.8%

Sell`EBAY`@`16.34

2

Perry Rod

Copyright 2014 All Rights Reserved; Patent Pending