Wow. It is amazing what happens to a stock when you announce
$2/share in earnings potential. QCOM is going to dominate 5G chips
for the next 5-8 years until AAPL can come out with their own tech
- I think they signed a 6 year agreement. INTC is ditching
the 5G phone modem market admitting they cannot compete.
finance.yahoo.com/ne...4.html
Qualcomm Rally Has Room to Run After Apple Pact, Analysts Say

Gregory Calderone,
Bloomberg•April 17, 2019
(Bloomberg) -- Qualcomm Inc. jumped 14 percent pre-market
Wednesday, on track to bring its two-day rally to 41 percent after
announcing a settlement with Apple Inc. and signing a deal for
royalties and chipsets with the iPhone maker to end the two-year
legal dispute.
Analyst covering the chipmaker universally applauded the
settlement, which Qualcomm said will add $2.00 of incremental
earnings per share to its 2020 financial results, and at least
three brokers upgraded their ratings on the stock. Bernstein
analyst Stacy Rasgon, who had labled the company’s shares
``virtually uninvestible'' while litigation was ongoing, said ``the
resolution will likely go a long way toward assuaging investors who
have been terrified of the potential for negative legal and
regulatory outcomes.''
Qualcomm shares climbed to $80.68 at 9:09 a.m. in New York, the
highest price the stock has reached since July 2014. Apple shares
rose 0.6 percent to $200.46 each.
Here's what analysts are saying:
Stifel, Kevin Cassidy
Cassidy upgraded Qualcomm to buy from hold and says that based
on management’s additional $2.00 earnings per share guidance,
there will be no -- or only a slight -- discount to
Qualcomm’s licensing fee once iPhones ramp into production
with Qualcomm modems.
He says Apple made the concessions based on its need to have a
5G iPhone in the market in 2020.
Stifel also raised its Qualcomm price target to $100 from
$57.
Morgan Stanley, James Faucette
``We think this settlement is a significant win for Qualcomm and
results in a similar, if not better outcome than if Qualcomm had
won at the FTC.''
Faucette says the settlement with Apple gives Qualcomm ``some
leverage with other handset OEMs to ensure future royalty
compliance,'' also noting that ``any improvement in potential to
bring Huawei into compliance would be a key incremental
positive.''
He expects the settlement to assure ongoing compliance within
the rest of the handset OEM market and believes there will be
growth beyond the settlement.
Maintain equalweight on Qualcomm and $55 price target.
Citigroup, Christopher Danely
``Believe the deal could be positive for Qualcomm given the
restoration of licensing and chipset revenue.'' He estimates
Qualcomm could see an additional $7 billion in revenue and $1.55 to
Citigroup’s 2020 estimates of $22.5 billion and $3.57
earnings per share.
Expects other Qualcomm ``customers will pursue similar royalty
and chipset pricing if Apple gets a good deal.''
Cowen, Matthew Ramsay and Krish Sankar
The agreement ``removes a massive overhang on Qualcomm shares''
Ramsey writes, adding that after Tuesday's 23 percent rally, shares
remain undervalued. Cowen sees significant value entering a period
of 5G volume shipments with $2.00 of incremental EPS now expected
that doesn’t include Huawei, and a run rate of $7.00 earnings
per share in 2021, which should help the stock outperform.
Cowen raises its price target to $91 from $70 and maintains an
outperform rating.
Sankar says that Apple’s 5G modem sourcing has now been
de-risked and a 5G iPhone in the second half of 2020 is now a
reality, abating concerns iPhone demand would suffer if 5G phones
weren’t ready until 2021.
Bernstein, Stacy Rasgon
The Apple-Qualcomm ``resolution caps a multi-year period in
which QCOM’s stock has broadly been viewed as virtually
uninvestible, and the resolution will likely go a long way toward
assuaging investors who have been terrified of the potential for
negative legal and regulatory outcomes.''
``We shall see whether this chipset gain is sustainable over the
long term however; guidance for a `multi-year' chipset supply
agreement is less specific than what was laid out for licensing and
raises the question of what AAPL’s plans might be in 2-3
years (when presumably the competitive environment might be more
favorable, or they perfect their own modems).''
Maintain marketperform and $60 price target