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OT: Polyverse
Jamok,
Once you asked me about which security company to put money
behind. I now have conviction that Polyverse is a truly
revolutionary company when it comes to computer security. I
believe Polyverse is private, the founder was Bill Gates personal
security advisor at Microsoft many moons ago.
Read up on it, these guys will revolutionize and maybe, just
maybe turn the tables on hackers, and grab a very significant
portion of the overall global security business. Worth many,
many billions of $$.
If you cannot get to this link (maybe it requires subscription),
then I can email it to anyone who is interested.
barrons.com/ar...A&
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Barron's has a complete article on Polyverse in ths week's
online magazine. I can email it to anyone interested.
The company is indeed small, currently only generating revenue of
$10M.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/06/18 at 9:40 AM CST
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lt cap,
Thanks for bringing attention to the Barron's article. From what
I understand of it, given my non-IT mind, I would take a flyer on
it, given my belief that the cybersecurity sector can do nothing
but grow with each new break-in. I'm not sure there's a way to tell
when/if it will have an IPO, or if it will remain private or
bought-out by a larger company. A call to them might answer
that. I played PANW a while back for a small profit. But concluded
that the rich PEs in the sector reflected assumptions of future
growth, rather than current performance. If this new company has a
completely new, and more effective, means to block cyber-attacks,
yeah, I'll bet some money on that.
Read this article about 5G and CES. It does look like 'real'
rollout is likely a 2019-2020 event, I think:
zdnet.com/ar...later/
I believe there might still be 10% upside to the market, given
Trump's gifts in tax reductions and destruction of any oversight or
regulation to businesses. Towards that end, I had taken some $ off
the table, and re-deployed only a part of it as of last last week
into Berkshire B, SPY, and ROBO. ROBO is an etf that tracks 10
firms engaged in robots and AI deployments. It includes one
sea-drilling service company that I don't like, but decided to take
a shot with it anyway. So far, all 3 are positive by a bit. Some
time ago I put some funds into NVDA and ISRG. They both immediately
tanked after doing nothing but skyrocketing for the last year or
two. After correcting about 10%, NVDA is back at all-time highs,
and in the black. I believe they have so many opportunities in so
many areas, such as AI autos, that they will continue to flourish,
given their ability to execute on their chip-making. ISRG I'm less
confident about - there are other AI surgical companies and
products in development, but they won't actually hit the market for
a while. I consider ISRG's prospects less solid than NVDA's, but
that's partly based on my knowing NVDA a good deal better.
When this market falls apart, I think it will be pretty
dramatic. The Trump tax and industry policies are what I think will
drive things in the short term, but I'm not sure they'll actually
have a large lasting effect - being able to dump mining waste into
rivers without regulations is the kind of thing that may help boost
profits short-term, but it seems to me a little bit like selling
your birthright for a bowl of porridge. I see many economists
(Krugman, Samuelson) backing away from making predictions about
when something will 'go wrong'. Only that when it does, the longer
this market inflation valuation goes on, the harder the landing
will be. I was surprised to learn that we're still only the
3rd longest expansion in history. I would've thought we were the
longest.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/08/18 at 3:19 PM CST
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Agree, every long bull market ends in a pretty terrible
way. This one has been quite long and it looks like it could
still go on for a bit longer. I think ROBO could be one of
the better ways to play AI and the coming of Robots. I will
check it out, thanks for sharing
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/09/18 at 6:59 AM CST
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lt cap,
I really haven't done my homework on AI/robotics plays - I had
intended to look into other possible ETFs that may have been
initiated. But my best guess was that the opening part of January
would see a Trump-bump in the market, and after my doing nothing
for the first couple of trading days, ROBO was one of the plays I
decided to jump into. And indeed, it has not had a negative day -
yet. And except for that sea-drilling company, I don't have a
problem with the composition of the portfolio. Their expense ratio,
at .95, is double the average management fee. But really, the fees
on ETFs are of the least concern if you're investing for a while.
NVDA appears to be getting very heavily involved in AI, and
specifically automobile AI, and I'm really bullish on their long
term prospects. ROBO really didn't do much of anything in the first
few years since its inception. And then in the last 6-12 months
it's basically doubled. So I've decided to put just a moderate
amount into it and 'ride the tiger' while it's got momentum. Of
course, the eminence gris that looms in the background is when is
this bull market going to crash and burn.
I came across this article, referencing Alcatel phone designs. I
wasn't aware that Alcatel existed in any differentiated way from
NOK at this point. Maybe it's just a name NOK licensed to brand
phones with?
zdnet.com/ar...545499
Doesn't matter much, it's not of much importance one way or
another, I'd think.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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01/09/18 at 2:52 PM CST
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