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OT - NOK
<p>OT - NOK - Credit Suisse cut its rating from
'outperform' to 'neutral' today. Nice to see, for whatever reason,
the stock is still up today despite that. INFN seems to be on a
tear lately - moved up rapidly from aroung t he $6.30's and is not
above $7. Reaction to lt cap's saying short term sucks but long
term eventually they should reap the rewards of their tech? I see
lots of headlines about ATT and to a lesser extent Verizon touting
announcements of deployment of 5g. But it seems they are talking
mostly about limited deployments, such as ATT saying they'll have
it in 28 markets in 2018. I have no insight into whether there is
going to be a generally sped-up deployment, or this is just the
usual blather, and the timing has not changed at all. I believe it
was Comcast (or a similar giant ISP/TV network) that said it will
invest $50 billion, or something equally large, in capex, given
Trump's tax/business plan. Where would that $ go? And how
soon?</p> <p>I have personally given up on trying to
time this market. Like you all, I keep reading famous soothsayers
saying that valuations are bubblicious, and if there's a correction
sooner rather than later, it will be manageable, but the longer
this bull market bursts higher, the worse the aftermath will be.
What's interesting to me is that while all these folks say this is
semi-crazy, none of them (including Paul Krugman, who prides
himself on being right) is willing to give any kind of a timetable.
In the NY Times, Krugman said that while just about all of the
world's economies seem to be in lock-step good shape (Even Japan is
rousing), if and when something goes wrong, the Fed will be
essentially helpless, as interest rates are still low enough that
there isn't a log of room for tightening. (But why can't they just
buy more bond assets like last time?) But Krugman made it
clear that he wasn't saying that he saw anything that was going
wrong, nor would he predict when such a thing might happen. The
feeling I get is that naysayers on the market rise have been burned
so often, like me, they've given up trying to predict a top and in
what time frame. Consequently, yesterday I put some seed money in
SPY, Berkshire B, and ROBO (ETF fund of companies involved in
robotics/AI.) So far, so good.</p>
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