OT - CSCO - Did not delve into the details, but the quarter
apparently was good enough to propel the stock to a 6%+ gain. Not
clear to me why there would be such a disparity among networking
stock results. Yes, I know CSCO sells hardware such as
routers, but my understanding is that this segment of their
business should suffer. They made a foray into security software,
and I think that's doing well, but wouldn't necessarily see it a a
large part of their business, nor a large part of their success.
The secret sauce?
Congrats to lt cap for a gutsy (seemed to me, altho he noted
downside was limited) buy of INFN, which continues to rally, only
stronger now, up 7%+ today. It would seem that scooping up shares
in the mid $6's may be seen as quite a coup down the road, if
Fallon is right. He wasn't right the last 2 times he bought chunks
of stock, but I'm guessing he saw limited downside and a way to
boost the stock off multi-year lows, and so far, it's working like
a charm.
And NOK is having a fine day, after drifting steadily lower.
Could just be the happy feet the market has.
One thing that does puzzle me, which I'm not certain has a
definite answer: The market is up almost 200 points today, so far.
Walmart and Cisco are the named drivers. But quoted sources are
saying it's on the hope of a passable tax plan. (Quoted sources can
attribute anything to anything they like.) It used to be that the
esteemed economists who made GDP projections would be wildly
optimistic, a prediction of 3% for instance, and when we got there
it would be a real growth number of .02%, or something equally
anemic. Last quarter actually did come in at 3%. And the
projections for this quarter are 2.8%. My puzzlement is this: Do
the numbers mean anything, in the sense that they are reflecting
real economic conditions/gains? There are two different issues here
- one is the 'goodness' of predictions, which as Jester has pointed
out for years, has been incredibly over-optimistic. The other is
the 'goodness' of the numbers themselves - are they reflective of
economic conditions and growth, or are they manipulated so much
that they're not representative of anything? That second
question is important it seems to me, as if it is reflective of
some reality, then that, plus earnings, might justify these
dizzying stock valuations, no? Add in a tax plan that (if it
occurs) might give corporations a 20% tax rate, and that seems a
recipe for a large market 'melt up' from here. Correct me if I'm
wrong, please.