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Author:

LongTerm CapGains

Subject:

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Date:

05/25/17 at 7:04 AM CDT

 

 

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Sentiment:

Neutral

Reiterating reasons why I have started a position in INFN

Reasons why I have started a position in INFN (2K shares):

1.- I believe the stock has bottomed

2.- It has priced in all the bad news. If any remain, I doubt they are significant at these prices.

3.- The new Products being released over the next few months continue to be at the bleeding edge.  The company should be able to grow revenues for the next 2 years at least.  Their R&D remains top notch.

4.- Balance sheet is strong enough to enable the company to ride out the slump

5.- Management bough shares aggressively several months ago.  Lately, they have been excersizing shares and holding them for long term tax treatment

6.- The down cycle should end in the second half.

7.- Even though I blame the management for not having managed expectations a year ago, I trust they know their Industry segment and should execute well once the up cycle returns.

lt cap,

(It just erased a long message) Short story: Thanks for posting the INFN rationale - appreciated. I agree except that I don't trust management to know how their business is going - and that's inspite that business is so difficult to pin down in this sector, given that if one customer does or doesn't buy equipment, it can rise or crash a stock.

Clearly, the blow-down across the sector reflects, I'd think, concerns that things aren't stable and positive. If one accepts the 'buy' premise, today's blowdown of 4%+ is a real buying opp. Unless there's some INFN specific quite bad news. Can't find that yet - from Barrons it appears that it's other players disappointing. Could only copy this from Barrons:

 

Outlooks Soft in Communications TechInvestors saw CommScope’s guidance as a function of timing issues. BroadSoft’s forecast caused concer

I'm quite leaning towards picking up 1k shares - except that I can't find a/the reason for the blow-down, and I am skeptical of mgmt's ability to reassure analyts about rough quarters, rather than sounding like they're panicing. (I did post in a  prior CC that they sounded (quality of their voices), from the first minute, like they were 'running scared', and they we're - I think that was one of the very large blow downs of the stock.

Okay, back to trying to get myself to pull a trigger perhaps.


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Author:

Jam ok

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/25/17 at 12:50 PM CDT

I bought another 1K yesterday morning.  Brings the position to 3K shares.  


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Author:

LongTerm CapGains

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/26/17 at 7:03 AM CDT

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