EA is at $73, and I just sold all my shares bought in the low
$60's last week. However, I believe there's room to run towards the
52-week high of $76.92 by E3 in mid-June (14th-16th) so I'll be
looking to get back in on a pull-back towards $70, or sell weekly
puts in this time. Three reasons for this call to test the
highs:
1) Technical move fueled by positive momentum after
earnings.
2) The weeks leading up to E3 are often positive, and this year
is likely to have a lot of hype with VR and maybe PS Neo and
Nintendo NX announced.
3) Current FY should be strong with Battlefield, Titanfall 2,
and Mass Effect Andromeda will be on the cusp of next year. Their
guidance for the FY is $3.50, which is low growth compared to last
years 26% growth in net income, so is likely a number they are
confident in. ATVI is at around $37 on expectations of $1.78 for
the year ending December 2016. A similar multiple for EA with eps
around $3.50 is about $73. I think both companies are fairly priced
here, and they should both remain strong for the next month on E3
hype.
ATVI is benefiting today too from Disney's poor results leading
them to back out of console game development and stick to game
licensing, in the process killing off Disney Infinity and laying
off almost 300 at their Avalanche studio. This benefits
Skylanders.