INFN - what
the...?
OT - INFN down 8%+ today, after yesterday's analyst day and a
revamp of their product line, part of which I think was showing off
how their acquisition of Transmode gives them solutions to a wider
area of the market. I can find nothing negative about that, and
have no idea of why it is plummeting. of course, I own 1k of this
at a good deal higher price. Jon will *never* get those last
shares optioned, re-optioned, and re-options sold. Anyone know
what's going on?
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First let me say that I do not know anything is wrong.
However, Launching a new product is typically expensive, so
there may be a period of lull in earnings wise due to increased
expenses.
That said, I still continue to think the stock is digesting the
huge move it has had, so it should be just a period of
consolidating those gains (channeling between high teens to low
20s), I also think that so long as the company continues to manage
expectations as well as it has done so far, it is just a matter of
time before the company can prove that their Metro Product is
superior than the competition.
One analyst (forget who), stated that with Infinera entering the
the Metro Network Market, it would have to compete agaisnt many as
it is a far more competitive segment. This in turn would
lower the gross margins, as it would not get the same kind of gross
margins as it is getting in its DTN-X product line. The claim
is probably true, but what would it matter if INFN starts
penetrating this new market and as a result it adds to the earnings
growth?
Growth to the Bottom Line (i.e. Earnings growth) is what will
rule the day. If INFN gets significant market share in this
new segment, the street will continue to love the company.
Therefore, I would keep an eye on the Metro Networks
product.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/07/15 at 1:45 PM CDT
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Agreed and as I told Jamok via PM, I bought more today below 19.
On the recent rise I sold November calls at strikes of 22 and
23 for my existing shares. I would not be surprised if they get
called away next month. I probably should have bought them back
today when it dropped.
I think the new product does two things. Might decrease margins
in the short term, but opens up additional opportunities in the
long term. Any margin decrease might be offset with margin
increases as existing products become more mature. Of course that
would slow the staggering growth rate of the past few years, but I
would expect this to be more of a bump than a trend. I think buying
under 20 is a good deal.
SUNNYVALE, CA--(Marketwired - Oct 6, 2015) -
Infinera introduced a new unified Intelligent
Transport Network product portfolio to address the
surge in demand forecast for metro 100 gigabit per second (Gb/s)
packet-optical networking solutions in 2016. Mobile, video and
cloud-based services are driving a transformation of metro
packet-optical networks from 10 Gb/s to 100 Gb/s, and industry
analysts forecast a surge in demand for metro 100 Gb/s in 2016. The
new portfolio unifies Infinera's long-haul DTN-X platforms with
metro packet-optical solutions obtained through the acquisition of
Transmode and introduces three new platforms to the DTN-X Family,
enabling the company to address the entire wavelength division
multiplexing (WDM) market from long-haul to metro access. IHS
Research forecasts the end-to-end WDM market will top $15 billion
by 2019
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Author:
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breinejm
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/07/15 at 2:53 PM CDT
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