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Re: OT: Chinese
EVs
NIO came to my attention a week or 2 back. It is tough for me as
I tend to be more of a value investor and Tesla (I know it is not
Chinese!), Nio, Li Auto, etc. should all be about 1/10 of what they
are currently priuced at, but are being priced as if they will
replace GM, Ford and Toyota in the next 3-5 years. I struggle
with their valuations. On the other hand, it is clear that some
folks value them off of some crazy growth model that I cannot
necessarily comprehend. My fear is to be stuck as the bag holder. I
do believe that electric cars are the future, so at most I might
take a small position in the market, but would probably hedge
amongst 2-4 different companies.
My issue with Tesla: They are selling cars at a loss while
growing market share, but there is no indication they will be able
to get costs down so how will they turn a profit from selling more?
Their profit now is due to credits they sell other car
manufacturers, and that cannot last. Seems to be a house of cards.
Not sure if Chinese companies are similar or not. Can they get
costs down and turn a profit?
Please keep posting as you do DD. I am interested in following
more closely.
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