Jester,

I remember a very long time ago that we (or at least I) fretted about ATVI's release of a Spiderman game, which was being heavily relied upon for revs. It scored about a 75 on Metacritic, yet that really didn't hurt sales much. Enough fans out there to make the nut. I think that's happened innumerable times, with innumerable titles. And the bar for 'Star Wars' would obviously be very low, so I think your assumptons about meeting expectations is pretty much a lock. 

I was wondering what the 'lower limit' of scores needs to be before it overcomes the 'fan base effect.' I remember around the turn of the century Beavis and Butthead golf game called "Hole in One' came out that was one of the worst games I've ever played. Looked it up for kicks, and it averaged 39% on gamerankings (metacritic doesn't even list it.) Guess that's about where the lower boundary is.