LOL at analysts continuing their game of, "inflate projections
for insider access". It says something about this increasingly
morally bankrupt world that this behavior is now openly recognized
by all, and also perfectly acceptable.
I agree the markets appear to have a downward bias now. The
breadth has continued to narrow, and the recent plunge probably
broke the up-trend. That more than anything will dictate price
movements after news, and there is plenty of that to justify lower
prices. Once prices drop, it may be a while before we see huge
buying, since everyone realizes stocks aren't cheap.
The downside to this increased volatility is I hate waking up in
the morning to check, "Did the market jump or tank 1% in thin
futures trading today?" For example, QQQ this week:
Monday +0.55%
Tuesday -1.53%
Wednesday +0.28%
Thursday -1%
After this mornings gap, that's a -2.1% move from Friday, with
opening gaps totaling 3.36%. Perhaps we should start doing the
opposite of what worked in the uptrend, buy at the close and sell
at the open, then forget about it for the day.