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Re: OT - With the drop in
NOK, the deal premium is now gone
First let me state that if ALU craps the bed next Tuesday, the
pressure from ALU investors to NOK will more than likely
subside. However, if ALU expectations have been lowered
enough and ALU manages to post OK earnings, then I think that boost
the case for investors to demand a better deal. I do not
think ALU execs and BoD can do much since they approved the deal
already, unless there were clauses regarding NOK performance, which
I highly doubt.
So, short answer: in the unlikely event that ALU meets or
beats expectations, more ALU investors may opt not to tender shares
if they are not happy with deal and see ALU performing better than
what NOK just showed in their quarterly earnings.
That said, this is all pure speculation at this point, and
frankly I am in the camp that ALU will report weak earnings, but I
would be more than happy to be wrong.
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