OT - ALU/NOK
HB - I had thought from the article yesterday - about the no. 2
ALU shareholder finding the deal unacceptable - said that the ALU
side of it didn't matter, as only NOK shareholders would vote on
the deal. Not that that made sense to me, but your saying
that one path may be for ALU to pressure NOK for a better share
%age deal, given NOK's earnings. Can I assume we're talking about
NOK shareholders in the first instance and ALU execs or Boards in
the 2nd?
I am the Anti-Jon, having picked precisely the place not to buy
ALU yesterday, lol. But we're all familiar with volatile stocks in
the sector, so this trip is rideable, too. The somwhat
'polarized' stance of analysts can be confusing - some seem to
think NOK/ALU is a great fit, other the opposite. I'm dimly mulling
accumulating more, but given the conflicting implications of 1. If
ALU reports poorly, maybe the ALU holders settle down and the deal
goes through, or maybe the deal starts to unreavel, and the poor
earnings punch the stock some more. I'm quizzical about whether to
add here, as I am stepping out of the 'very small' position if I do
another buy. I see you've mulled it HB, and bit. It is always nice
to have a heavy anchor of cheaper shares to have higher buys not
move the 'average' needle much - kudos to you and Jon.
If the deal unravels, ALU likely gets hurt, yes? Perhaps to the
low 3's before the merger news emerged? Or does the lowball bid,
with the built-in premium, ameliorate that?