OT - NOK
NOK - Met earnings, beat on revs. But gave downward guidance for
2020 and (at least temporarily) suspended dividend for the next 2
qtrs, and said when (if?) reinstituted, it'd be based on earnings
going forward. Sounds like they're also concerned about cash going
forward. Stock off 25%. CIEN and CSCO fall somewhat, apparently in
sympathy. Hard to say what to do. Earning that dividend while
waiting was a big enticement to hold the stock. By their own
reckoning, if 2020 won't be good, when will it be? Bad day at the
OK Corral.
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Yes, I am so pissed about this on many levels. Suri has to go.
He has no understanding or control at this point.
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Author:
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breinejm
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Subject:
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Conference Call
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/24/19 at 5:58 PM CDT
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Jon,
I wonder whether there's hope of a dead-cat bounce - I have a
hard time evaluating whehter the news is properly reflected by the
25% hit the stock took today. On the face of it,
I'm trying to think of a rationale for holding it. And a
downstream question becomes - is this company specific or an
indicator of the sector? Both NOK and CIEN have mentioned
margins. So, is CIEN a raging buy in its sympathetic ~2.5%
downturn today, or will they also report issues with competitive
pricing? We may just have to wait until earnings, probably
late Nov/more likely early Dec. I'm loaded as I want to be on
CIEN, but the stock is cheap here if they're on the ball with 5g.
And I doubt we'd want to write calls from this price, as
buying CIEN and then writing calls would make more sense, unless
something unwholesome is lurking in their report.
And I was worried Intel might mess the bed. CNBC pointed out
that earnings before the announcement were around 11x, which seems
reasonably cheap. Although I (think) it's next
month that AMD releases it's EPYC? version 2 datacenter
chips.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Conference Call
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/24/19 at 6:35 PM CDT
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I just looked up ineptitude in the dictionary and Suri came
up. He cannot get anything right. What a mess he has
made!
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Conference Call
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/28/19 at 7:21 AM CDT
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lt cap,
I haven't sold my shares, as I thought we'd get a dead cat
bounce, rather than the ugly dead cat drop that today has produced.
Aside from the stories about a bunch of class
action lawsuits being filed, and a very interesting yahoo
article on why being in the equipment business is so hard to turn a
profit (maintaining legacy equipment that's a dead end on
the one hand, and telecom companies and other buyers reluctant
to spend capex, thus slowing down the 5g rollout considerably),
there's this rather bullish article, with price
target I could only dream about:
marketwatch.com/st...=yahoo
Is there any reason to hold this stock? Or should one head for
the hills before it goes even lower? I wish I knew. But I'm
certainly pondering pullling the plug.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Conference Call
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/28/19 at 2:09 PM CDT
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Jamok,
Re your question of : Is it worth holding
on?
Suri is such a serial earnings killer that I truly hesitate to
make a "guess" as to wether he has finally cleaned the slate and
under-promise to be able to over deliver or if he continues to be
way over his head. It is a tough call. Even after the brutal three
day drop, today NOK gets another down grade by Credit Suisse (sp?),
I guess better late than never.
That said, it is surprising MKM's Genovese is still hopeful that
Suri has set the bar low enough. Maybe for once Suri has done
what had to be done? One can only guess.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Conference Call
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/29/19 at 5:01 AM CDT
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lt cap,
Thanks for the input. I looked at options, about a month out,
and at a strike of $3.50, the premium was about .22. Given the
amount of shares I had, that would be of some
significance. But I also looked at today's range - $3.50 low
$3.61 high - and pondered how low it might go with no immediate
drivers. And, I thought the Marketplace article I
posted on the reasoning behind a slower rollout of 5g than
expected (their prediction is that things won't really start going
mainstream till 2022) was interesting, and made
some sense. So, in the end, I just decided to cash out at
$3.60.
Curiously, CIEN is trading at $36.35 - I don't think it's been
that low in a while. I'm tempted, altho the boat is loaded.
Typically, they've slumped with reports like the one
NOK came out with, although last CC they did warn about margins.
I think I'll take a look at what call premiums look like so
far.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Conference Call
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/29/19 at 1:20 PM CDT
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