|
OT - INTC and the
market
<p>OT - INTC and the market -</p> <p>As to
this ever-more-bullish market: When the 'impossible' happens, what
is left that can be said to be impossible? I think that's the
central dilemma. This can't be happening, but it is. So you scoff
at DOW 40,000. Just as you did at DOW 20,000. Who are you to say
this isn't possible, when in fact it's unfolding before your eyes.
People say the complacency of the investor - nothing roils this
market for the worse - will be their downfall when the bubble
bursts. When will the bubble burst? Do you remember the S and
P when it was 65 or so? Now it's 273. That's impossible. Except
that it's not. Knots, all knots, endless knots.</p>
<p>I have a bad feeling from what I'm seeing happen to stocks
that post even mild disappointments that some reality X 2 may hit
the market: INTC reports after the bell. I've not sold, and I've
been amazed (this can't be happening) that it's only taken a 5%
hit, given the Spectre and Meltdown problems, and then worse news
as boxmakers are already saying their patches are faulty and
they're readying new ones. And INTC saying there will be no
material impact to their numbers (well, what about next quarter?),
and mumbling nonsense about how everything is just fine. Plus the
CEO selling a ton of stock on November - one analyst said that
whatever reason is given for that, it just looks
terrible. </p> <p>So I'm guessing that INTC will
do a NOK-like swoon after the CC. So I'm not selling into earnings,
altho that would be prudent. Cold comfort? - Everyone must be as
idiotic as myself, since INTC is current up by a penny. I think one
sign of the 'frothiness', as a casual observation, is that the
stocks doing well are not getting outsized rewards, but the stocks
that are disappointing are getting hit hard. To me, bespeaks of the
expectaion (delusion? illusion?) that of course this market will
continue to rise. It's been doing that for many years. What could
possibly go wrong? Something going wrong must be
'impossible.'</p>
|
|