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NOK pulling out of VR
Biz
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lt cap,
Personally, I'm very bullish on VR and its applications going
forward. At some point, I think it becomes mainstream, kind of like
to adoption of 4k which is unfolding, but eventually will become
the norm, much like HDTV before it. Still, a company knows
its business best, and licensing out the tech is obviously a
low-cost operation that doesn't completely abandon what investment
they've put into the technology. INTC did the same thing with its
set-top box foray some time ago - they realized it wasn't going to
be a money-maker in a crowded field, and sold the entire unit to
bag-holder Verizon. I've never heard of a Verizon-labeled set top
box since that time, but then again I have no cable TV.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/10/17 at 12:32 PM CDT
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I think VR will be huge. However, NOK OZO offering is a
very low unit volume product. There are only so many film
production companies that can buy a $60K camera.
VR and AR will indeed be huge, they will provide a tremendous
amount of entertainment and also be used to virtualize
design. It will be a tremendous money maker for the software
houses. Big margin products.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/10/17 at 6:20 PM CDT
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FB's upcoming Oculus Go sounds improved, and very affordable at
$199. It always pays to wait for V2 of things like this.
finance.yahoo.com/ne...8.html
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Author:
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Jester
Debunker
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/11/17 at 1:24 PM CDT
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Gamers will love this, they will certainly be first to jump on
this. I think FB has finally released a good VR headset that can
lend itself to a huge variety of applications.
I can imagine Zillow providing a VR experience where you can
virtually walk around a house/condo using this headset. Car
dealership Web Sites giving you a virtaul ride on cars.
Travel Web sites doing virtual tours of cities. Possibilities
are endless.
This is the kind of mass application that NOK should have
produced, not a 60K camera.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/12/17 at 6:55 AM CDT
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lt cap/Jester,
Not that it matters much (I hold no Facebook and have no
intentions) but I have to wonder that if Facebook is losing money
on the Occulus Rift Model @$399/$499, what kind of money are they
going to lose on the 'Go' model @$199, given that (I think) they'll
need an internal processor to replace the 'usb wired' connection to
and reliance upon a PC to power all software operations? Of course,
even if they're losing money, the "Microsoft Model" has proved to
be a big winner - they subsidized the original Xbox while it bled
money until the franchise became a huge revenue gainer when fully
mature. And I'd think that software/games sales garner at least a
licensing fee if not a revenue sharing model. And like MSFT, FB can
finance projects indefinitely.
What I find confusing is, apart from not needing to be attached
to a computer for......positional tracking? I can't see how a
computer wouldn't be needed to provide streaming content or
whatever. Perhaps it connects directly to Wi-Fi? Anyway, not clear
to me whether the Santa Vista system they say will be in developers
hands next year and provide pc-connection-free 6 degrees of control
freedom including above the head is the big improvement over the
current Occulus Rift, or what exactly the Go brings to the table
aside from an apparently wireless system and a lower price. And
what the monniker 'Occulus 4' (or whatever that name was) is,
exactly. Perhaps I will get a summary in the coming days from a
site like Reddit.
The Rift as now sold comes with 8 games, and the Best Buy
version included Eve Online - well reviewed game, $50 if unbundled.
Wonder if FB plans for the early-next-year 'Go' system to have
software bundled (at the price, I'd be surprised except for
rudimentary starter/demo software - there are a number of
applications that are already free (Such as Lone Echo online, which
is free, but the single-player version, where you learn your chops
before looking foolish online) costs $) if really good games came
bundled, but there's no way to know how sweet they're going to make
the deal.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/12/17 at 2:30 PM CDT
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It sounds like a pretty good deal. Are you going to buy
one? How about you Jester?
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/13/17 at 5:50 AM CDT
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Maybe I'm a dinosaur. Still no intention of doing VR yet. I
really need to demo it somewhere to see what it's like.
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Author:
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Jester
Debunker
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/13/17 at 8:12 AM CDT
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I guess I must be part of the herd 'cause I agree, can't buy
something sight/experience unseen.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/13/17 at 2:22 PM CDT
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Jester,
My local Best Buy says the Occulus demo guy sets up shop on
Saturdays. Could be a place to take a look.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/14/17 at 1:01 AM CDT
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lt cap,
I already *almost* joined the ranks of the VR-smitten when I
bought an Occulus Rift system from Best Buy a couple of months ago
when the price was temporarily dropped to $399, and the Best Buy
Bundle (headset, 2 touch controllers, 2 sensors plus a 9th 'Eve
Online' game that the other bundles was lacking in the standard 8
game package that came with the bundle. Eve Online is otherwise a
$50 piece of software. And I already owned 2 well rated games on
Steam - Elite Dangerous (which I've been too fumble-fingered to
master as a keyboard and mouse game to get through the tutorial)
and Everspace, which I've wasted a lot of hours on so far - pretty
cool game, all in all. Both games give you access to their Occulus
VR versions simply for owning the 'regular' versions.
However, I'm slightly loathe to admit publicly that I haven't
had the time and focus to set up the Occulus bundle I have - both
boxes are still sealed. So this announcement about the Occulus Go
has me on the fence - I'd like to be able to compare what, besides
glare reduction and a pc free tether the Go will bring - will it be
more powerful or less? Will it come with a game bundle or no?
'Tether free' isn't making a whole lot of sense to me as I'd think
you'd need the processing power of the CPU and especially GPU of
your computer to render games and movies properly, but I could be
missing something.
And it may be that the details of 'Go' are not going to be
available until we get closer to launch next year. If I get
industrious, I'll probably just keep what I've got. If I still
haven't set it up closer to launch, well, maybe I'll think about
selling what I've got and get a 'Go.' But it's not of much
consequence - I can lose or gain the price differential on very
small movements of NOK, and that's a day to day fluctuation. I'll
see. The only thing I see to be sold on is the idea of VR as an
inevitable coming wave. Just hope when I actually *do* have a setup
in place I'm not one of the people that become incurably nauseaus
by the sensation, making it a no go for me :-)
;
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/14/17 at 12:47 AM CDT
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lt cap,
Agreed - the future is VR in many areas. And NOK's getting out
of a limited demand product makes sense - esp. if they recoup some
costs by simply licensing the existing tech and letting others do
the heavy lifting.
I continue to be a dumbfounded dope on NVDA - I've watched them
climb from $20/sh. to $190, pushing close to 52 week (and probably
all-time) highs. They have so many irons in the fire, from
consumer/professional videocards to driverless vehicles to
competing with INTC and AMD for cloud products that I just don't
see caps for their expansion possibilities. And they're well
managed. I am still mulling a buy, even at these lofty valuations.
The same with Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), which you first pointed
out as a bleeding edge tech company. They recently split 3-to-1,
but measuring pre-split their rise has been swift and meteoric.
Likely the valuations are quite high for both companies, but growth
is not a pipe dream. Likewise, still mulling a buy in ISRG.
The one company you brought to my attention where I did make a
buy is Palo Alto Networks (PANW) What a ride that has been - as
high as $200/sh. as low as $11X hundred-teens, now about $150/sh. I
probably just ought to book a small profit and be done - all the
software security firms valuations are very high, even given the
growth prospects. What stays my hand are those growth prospects -
Equifax, Yahoo, etc. etc. breach stories are just going to continue
to multiply. As you know, the odds so greatly favor the hackers -
in 1,000 attempts, they only have to succeed once. For the security
'gatekeepers' in 1,000 attempts they have to succeed every time. As
companies are scared witless by the prospect of being the next
Equifax, I think they're open to being marketed without looking too
closely at the claims the software co. makes. I'm not real fond of
PANW playing fast and loose with their earnings information. They
massaged the numbers some time ago to make it look like they were
profitable for 8 consecutive quarters when in fact they were losing
money. Not a great way to court analysts. But some analysts have
upped their recommendations, regardless, and that has been a driver
of share price.
I think NVDA and ISRG may be better candidates to invest in. Why
I sit with a PANW position sometimes mystifies me :-)
I make the assumption on NOK that the continual mild downdraft
(over time, that is) from the $6.50's to below $6 has to do with
timetables for 5g being pushed back, midling to poor immediate
prospects, and general sector weakness, reflected also in INFN and
CIEN, not to mention ERIC. I assume there are no known likelihood
of really nasty surprises (Suri flees to become head of ERIC? :-)
that is driving this stock continually backwards at the moment.
On the INTC/AMD front, some of my info was apparently mistaken.
Altho AMD receives consideration for the 1700 and 1800 lines of
Ryzen chips for gaming, they were pretty much already beaten by
INTC's Kaby lake 7000's higher end iterations - but at a price
premium. Coffee Lake, which widens that gap, and cannabalizes their
own Kaby Lake models, is sold out everywhere, with no indications
of when they'll again be available. The price increase over Kaby
Lake is about $20/chip, for boosts of 25-50% performance. And on
the lower-end/mainstream computer chips, Ryzens often get the nod
as best-in-class-for-the-price over INTC's offerings. And I do
smell a price war in the air. Great to be a consumer these days,
the war would not serve either company well. Besides, INTC's
first job will be to re-supply the channel which is currently
empty.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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News
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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10/11/17 at 1:32 PM CDT
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