ERIC: The ship keeps
sinking
Ericsson's results are truly horrific. IMO, Nokia should
be able to take share over the long term. BTW, it has reduced
ranks by much less than 1000 employees, you would think there would
be far more urgency. Management may be new but it appears it
is still "a deer in the lights".
These are the LightReading.com opinions on the quarter:
lightreading.com/os...32290?
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Ericsson burned 9% of its cash over the past three months.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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04/26/17 at 8:31 AM CDT
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lt cap,
Either ERIC's troubles are NOK's gain, or, as I think happened
over the last one or two CC's, it's been seen as a 'drought' for
them both (I *think* NOK missed, not certain my memory is good on
that) and a sign that there's more trouble ahead before those
stocks turn the corner (If they 'turn the corner' - ERIC sounds as
if it may get crippled if things don't get better.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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04/26/17 at 1:36 PM CDT
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Jamok,
Because of a slow Industry, ERIC's problems may also be Nokia's
as well. Ericsson's revenues ticked down 11%. I read an
article a month or so ago where it stated that Huawei had increased
revenues handsomely, yet gross margins had declined significantly.
One could fear that Huawei is under-pricing contracts in
order to gain further market share. If so this could affect both in
the short term.
Because NOK can now provide an end to end solution, it puts it
in avery good competitive position against ERIC and Huawei. I
believe over the long term, it can hold its own against any in this
industry. What Huawei is doing can also be treated as an
anti-trust/monopolistic matter in Europe and the US. I am
surprised we have not heard much in that regard.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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04/26/17 at 3:25 PM CDT
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lt cap,
If memory serves me well, European regulation of unfair
practices is a fair amount more stringent than it is in the US -
AMD won their unfair practices compaint against INTC there,
Microsoft was told it had to unbundle IE from the operating system,
etc. I hope there's a strong enough case for NOK at least give
Huawei notice (and that it has more 'theet' than Mac-Donald putting
Iran 'on notice'.
That said, today is a great day for NOK. The ship hasn't come
in, but it looks like it's heading towards port. Folks who bought
even up to the high $5. 30's made a good choice (not me - I've got
along ways to go to get back to my average, but it's all long
term).
In other news ATT is bragging that it will have by year's end
the infrastruce in Austin that will give subscribers' '5g' which
will 'leave others in the dust'.Except for two problems:
There are few phones that can handle 5 g, and ATT's
definition of '5g' is arbitrary, given that the industry hasn't
quite defined what 5g is, and ATT's announcement also waffles in
terms of using something like 'we're laying the evolutionay path to
5g.' Which comes down to ATT doing what they do best - Lie. and
obfuscate.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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04/27/17 at 1:37 PM CDT
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I agree, the ship is heading to port now. I have stayed firm in
my belief that NOK will pay off handsomely, my timing as always was
terrible, but as I said before, the investment thesis continued to
hold water for the very long term. The dip into the 4s game me the
opportunity to acquire more shares, I am glad I did.
With Ericsson faultering, I truly believe NOK will win more
contracts, specially when they include not only Wireless but also
include Switching, Routing and Optical, i.e. an end to end
solutiion.
BTW, this is the Call Transcript for NOK's CC, it gives further
detail on the quarter. I did not know that of all the cost
reductions a.k.a "Synergies from merger with ALU", NOK will only
see E250M in savings this FY, with the bulk of E1.2B in savings
benefiting next FY. So the acceleration im earnings will take place
in 2018. Suri also took the time to address the one area where NOK
did not do well, i.e. Wireline Networks:
seekingalpha.com/ar...page=1
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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04/28/17 at 6:31 AM CDT
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