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Rap Sheet

Author:

Jam ok

Subject:

Off Topic

Date:

05/04/16 at 1:22 PM CDT

 

 

READ: 3

RPLY: 6

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Sentiment:

Neutral

OT - network sector

Fallon and CFO buys are obviously their vote of confidence. I'll have to look at what covered calls might yield. CIEN loooks WAAAY oversold, but that thesis has burned me before. 

I am tempted, and think, that I may add more NOK here - only hesitation is that it's not showing much of a sign of rebounding from here yet, as it has before - yet. I am also interested in CSCO, which has dropped from $29.xx as the year's high into the $26's. Almost $4 dividend. But I wish I had snapped it up when it was $23, and it may go there again. I have no clue as to how they're doing and how they're positioned.

The whole market itself feel squishy, contradictory day to day, and uncertain. What puzzles me is - how are all the the data-sucking companies managing to continue to spend meager $ on capex building able to do that for so, so long. If I look at each of those stocks downward trend, I'd swear that the secular growth thesis could not be true - more like they're whip and buggy manufacturers. It flummoxes me. My best idea is to have the patience of Job (as the market, playing the part of God in this drama, keeps torturing me, testing how strong my faith is :-)

The current CapEx state of affairs is a dilemma to me, it is puzzling.  Data consumption continues unabated.  I have Amazon Prime and plan to start watching Amazon created content in Ultra High Definition.  Yes, Amazon is now producing its own shows in UHD.  This may not yet be the norm for most households but it will be a reality over the next couple of years.  4K TVs have begun to reach affordable price levels, this should continue to drive their sales and convince show creators to produce 4K content.

Comcast has now relaxed its quota for Data for its customers, it used to be 300GB per month and it is upping it to 1 Terabyte.  Truly a surprise as I thought they would gauge us on Data fees, thankfully it is not the case, yet.

UHD alone requires 4 times the bandwidth as HD content, this should eventually be a tremendous boost to bandwidth demand and Equipment suppliers by extension. 


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Author:

LongTerm CapGains

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/04/16 at 1:47 PM CDT

Yeah, makes no sense at all to me - seems like they've gotten a whole lot out of current tech, and the throttling of data seems to be on the wane as carriers are now touting increased data limits, which seems like a bit of a 'market share war'.  I am tempted on INFN, given the size of the insider buys. But given that the market has the attention span of a guppy, in a couple of days a downside buying opp may be there, esp. if the market cotinues to freak out when the weather vane of China's growth, oil's price, and the strength or weakness of the dollar swings in a 'wrong' direction.


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Author:

Jam ok

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/04/16 at 2:14 PM CDT

Agree, the market seems to still be in a range, currently it is at the top of the range, if it decides to test the bottom again, we could find ourselves back in the 1900s (S&P)


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Author:

LongTerm CapGains

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/04/16 at 2:28 PM CDT


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Author:

LongTerm CapGains

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/04/16 at 5:33 PM CDT

I'm on UVerse and didn't know, thanks! A quick search shows it actually goes up to unlimited bandwidth... if you have their TV package, which we do, although we have talked about going with Netflix + Hulu + PS Vue or something like that. They keep giving us good enough deals to stay. Not as cheap as the other services I mentioned, but good enough that we don't want to lose the channels we'd lose.

Data caps are basically doubling from before, or unlimited if you have TV:

engadget.com/20...-data/


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Author:

Jester Debunker

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/04/16 at 7:38 PM CDT

Jester,

I am glad these companies are beginning to offer a tiny bit more in an effort to retain customers.  And as you point out, they are having to give better pricing terms to customers in order to reduce their churn.  

The Netflixs, Hulus and Amazons of the world have basically changed the virtual oligopoly in the TV side of the business, customers now have a lot of cheaper choices.


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Author:

LongTerm CapGains

Subject:

Off Topic

Sentiment:

Neutral

Date:

05/05/16 at 9:01 AM CDT

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