OT - OIL The small frackers (e.g., OAS, SN, etc.) have long
touted that they have enough lines of credit to make it through
almost any circumstances. And they've streamlined their production
- focusing on already-drilled wells that produce the least
expensive oil, and curtailing new drilling or wells lesss
profitable.
But I am beginning to really feel that the Saudi aim of driving
them out of business may well succeed. If you look at oil being
down approx. 2%, OAS and SN are down another 8-10%, crashing to new
52 week lows. Chevron will survive this price disaster. It would be
tempting to make a play on these smaller frackers at these prices
(they also sometimes go up 15%/day), but I wouldn't chance it.
Automakers are also being punished badly (e.g. Ford) for poorer
outlook, despite plans to goose the dividend significantly.
And the vgs are off substantially today - despite ATVI persuing
monetization of franchises by delving into comics, tv, maybe
movies, who knows. I have no line on what and whether vgs are
undervalued here. I leave that to more learned brains on the
subject.