The employment numbers pretty much guarantees rate hikes will be
closer to 4 (maybe even more) than the 2 hikes the analysts have
been predicting. These bunch of bozos must readjust their
mindset to the new reality, the Fed has stopped their easy policy,
it started back in late 2014 and they are still hanging on to the
hope the Fed will reverse course.
I too think that the strong job numners continue to show real
progress, they have accelerated. Wages last year went up some
2.2% (from memory), so there is also a trend towards higher wages.
If we assume the job trends persist, or even if it moderates
but still shows growth, it will put pressure on companies' profit
margins, that coupled with the still strong dollar is not a good
combo for the short term.
People are still spending in moderation, so I am not sure that
the consumer is going to come in and save the day by lifting
corporate profits, I tend to thik the consumer will increase
spending ever so slightly, but not in a gang buster fashion.
Earnings guidance will matter a lot more this year.