Totally off Topic: Comcast
offering a Streaming Local Channel Package
for $15, my wife is the only person in our household that
watches regular TV, and then only the local channels. I only
stream Netflix and Amazon Prime, rarely regular TV. Currently
I am paying $70 for the TV service with ATT's U-Verse.
When the one year contract is up I will move, unless ATT offers
a similar package.
lightreading.com/vi...719434
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A friend was asking me about Playstation Vue recently, and I
looked into it and it seems quite decent. For $50 it has all the
major channels you could probably want, plus a cloud DVR, so it's
like a cheaper alternative to cable. It's only in a few US cities
currently, and expanding.
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Author:
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Jester
Debunker
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/20/15 at 8:22 AM CST
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Comcast is also being trialed in a couple of markets but will be
rolled out nationwide throughout 2016. I am inclined to try
the skinny package for $15
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/20/15 at 8:31 AM CST
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BTW, the trend towards streaming everything should continue to
underpin the Network Technology sector. Connected Car
Technology is also coming and will be available in a phased
fashion, all roads, traffic lights, railroad crossing,
intersections, all vehicles, etc... will be connected, I see this
as the first real useful segment within IoT, it will make cars far
safer than ever. It should also contribute to drive bandwidth
demand further.
While there may be security questions surrounding IoT, I believe
it will deliver many applications that will enhance many things
around us.
The Networking Industry is in for a continued secular
uptrend.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/20/15 at 8:41 AM CST
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Long term (no pun intended), the secular trend of bandwidth
growth as an investing thesis is what makes me feel comfortable
having my portfolio way outsized in the sector, with ALU, CIEN,
INFN. I don't know (and haven't seen, aside from the regular
announcement of deals of achievements for INFN) what is driving
INFN's 4% pop today (CIEN and ALU up but less so), but I took the
opportunity to sell some covered calls Dec. 18th stk 22 for .80
cents. About 1/2 my current position. (Mindful of your flexible but
approximate valuation that above 20 it's rich, below 20 it's
probably a buy.) Still can't decide whether to sell CIEN calls for
Dec. 4th (wimpy return, but if it finishes OTM, the premium for the
Dec. 11th calls are sweet, given that earnings are Dec. 10th) or
just sell calls after Dec. 10th. Trying to make sense of these
moves will just drive you nuts, as whatever drives this sector-wide
beta, often on a daily basis is invisible, as far as I can tell.
Might as well be in Vegas choosing Red or Black.
On IoT, I fail to understand why there isn't more concern about
the possibility of terrorist cyber attacks. If driver-less cars
were the standard, accelerating cars to 100 mph (well, if they're
electric, maybe 75 mph), and disabling the brakes - one could
probably kill not thousands of people (as did 911), but hundreds of
thousands of people. Or, estimates are that if the whole power grid
was taken down, and couldn't be repaired for 9 months to a year,
the majority of people in the US would be dead by then. (Now
*there's* an argument for 2nd amendment gun rights - you're the
only guy in your neighborhood who stocked away canned food and your
neighbors are at your door. And they're not just asking to borrow a
cup of sugar.) Ted Koppel was was interviewed on Charlie Rose,
since he has just published a book on that danger, after Koppel
interviewing govt. officials on preparedness for a power grid
take-down, and he 'discovered' this problem and advised people to
stock a 6 month supply of food and water. And he calls his
'discovery' news. James Barrett spoke in depth about this problem
in his 2012 book "Our Final Invention - Artificial Intelligence and
the End of the Human Era." Koppel could've saved himself a ton of
time if he had just read the damn book. Altho it is a good thing to
see this danger starting to be introduced in public awareness.
One could argue that IoT systems could be programmed to be 'fail
safe' and unhackable. Seems a very dubious argument to me: Three
Mile Island, Chernoble, Fukishima were all presumed to be
programmed 'failsafe' systems. And if Anonymous can hack virtually
any government site, why can't a terrorist with excellent computer
skills do the same with 'secured' IoT systems? Asimov's 3
laws of robotics to protect human life make for good science
fiction, but that's about it. And how is it possible that someone
can cause the DOW to crash 1000 points in order to profit from it?
End of Screed. Can't help it - I find that stuff fascinating.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/20/15 at 1:37 PM CST
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I hear you and understand your puzzlement. Security
is indeed "the" topic of the times. That said, human
fascination with technology dates back to the Guttenberg
era. I personally find myself equally fascinated by
technology, more so given that I am a software engineer, but also
believe that the security issues are part of the problem that
technological advances bring, up until now, that has been an
afterthought. The “Lets make money first”, then
worry about the issues later mentality has prevailed.
I concur that total and absolute
security is but a goal, one that is virtually impossible to
guarantee. However, I am firmly convinced that security will be
addressed over time; there is a lot of money to be made. And
as you and I know, technology follows the money.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/20/15 at 2:00 PM CST
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lt cap,
I absolutely agree that technology follows the money. And the
scarier and more visible security threats become, it is bound to
attract big money more easily. I think this might already be
seen in things like skyrocketing valuations of newer, small
cybersecurity stocks - PANW, Fireye, etc. The obvious bet is on
demand growth going forward.
But I think also that money will follow the security: that is,
for instance, it is known that 60 countries are developing AI
autonomous battlefield weapons. (Why risk human life when a robot
can fire 400 rounds a second with pinpoint accuracy, be less
vulnerable to damage, etc.? The funny, well, not-so-funny thing is
that 'accidents' with such weapons have already occurred - I think
it was around 2005? 2009? S. Africa was developing a fast-firing AI
machine gun that accidentally killed or wounded something like 9 of
their own soldiers 'by accident' in a fraction of a second. Oops -
back to the drawing board. But I digress.) What I mean is, what
country is willing to give up development of AI weapons, some of
mass destruction, when that hands their enemies a tremendous
advantage? The US-China agreement on curbing industrial cyber
spying seems a joke to me. The possibility of 'cheating' almost
insures both sides will continue to do so. 'Security agreements'
about development of such battlefieldweapons are likely to be
worthless. We condemned Saddam for WMD's when in fact he had none -
but despite it being outlawed by treaty, we have copious stockpiles
of bacterial/nerve/chemical weapons just in case our enemies have
them. My point is that where battlefield AI will be a weapons
advantage, no one will really give up development of them for fear
that their neighbors won't. So money gets poured into 'security' in
the form (or promise) that our battlefield AI weapons will be
superior to anything anyone else produces. The same forces that
govern the stock market (fear and greed) will probably drive the AI
weapons market. Mutual Assured Destruction, a policy of the last
century that was finally deemed as an insane concept, is probably
now in vogue again, in a new guise. Lockheed, anyone?
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/20/15 at 2:50 PM CST
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