Macy's the poster child for
what's wrong
So Macy's (M) is down 14% to $40 today on disappointing earnings
and guidance. They've spent billions on stock buybacks in recent
years, including $900M to buy shares last quarter at an average
price of $53.89. They've taken on additional debt to pay for these
buybacks, and the company's default risk is spiking higher. But
it's not all bad, many of the execs managed to dump millions of
dollars worth of shares, as recently as selling at $69 in June,
while the company was using its money to buy shares that are now
far underwater. This is what the Fed's failed policies have brought
us. Great for the 0.1%, who'll coincidentally soon be paying the
"Thank You" $250,000 dinner speaking fees of ex-Fed members, not so
great for everyone else.
zerohedge.com/ne...dreams
form4oracle.com/co...d=year
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Buybacks are at record levels. Historically, buybacks have
not always been good over the long term, specially if the buybacks
continue well past the point fair valuation for the company.
Then we have those companies whose executives use the
strategy as a personal piggy bank.
Then there is the cyclical nature of economies, what seems cheap
one moment can look down right expensive in a different economic
and/or interest rate environment.
That said, there are companies that have traditionally done
quite well in managing how and when to do share buybacks, but they
are not the majority.
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Author:
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LongTerm
CapGains
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/11/15 at 2:40 PM CST
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Jester,
I often feel frustrated by the fact that I haven't really ever
found a way that the 'common man' would be aware of major economic
events such as the Fed's policy, and how that plays out in terms of
both consequences down the road, as well as how it distributes
wealth. I wish it were otherwise. But on the surface, unemployment
is down, inflation is non-existant, and gas is cheap. And if they
have a retirement portfolio, they probably just smile and feel
reassured by the monthly statements. So what is there to complain
about? (Unless you used to have a job with benefits at GM,
and now you're delivering packages 'freelance' for UPS.)
You and most others here have undoubtably had the experience of
talking to a friend about such things, and watching their eyes
glaze over with this 'you are boring me to death' stare, as if you
were speaking in Swahili, lol.
Macy's is getting crunched, but IIRC Kohl's is flying on good
sales numbers - do you want to 'focus' on the positive or the
negative? If you do both at the same time, the 'glaze' kicks in
early.
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Author:
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Jam
ok
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Subject:
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Off Topic
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Sentiment:
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Neutral
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Date:
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11/12/15 at 1:34 PM CST
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