INFN and sector
This is probably not a useful observation. But INFN's usual
crazy beta has become seemingly crazier - ranging between $18.35
(close today), and in the upper $19's since late last week. Maybe
it's the issue lt cap named - with the Transmode purchase, they're
entering into a more competitive space and, just as with their main
business, it'll take some time before income overtakes expenses -
as well as maybe 'wait and see' how what they're offering stacks up
against competition. Or maybe because it's Columbus day. But the
pattern that's been holding for a while now seems to be that the
sector (as represented by CIEN and INFN at least) have been on a
downward trajectory, regardless of the main market action. ALU
seems to be on a slow but steady upward track. I can think of
scenarios that account for this - (e.g., with CIEN, they got a
'pass' from analysts when they said the last Q was 'light' because
of ATT capex that would show up in the last Q - maybe there's doubt
whether they'll clear the bar that they set, maybe not.)
And altho we're talking of a timeline of months (not that
significant) it still has me wondering how to make sense of CIEN
being a $25.XX at the CC and now a $21.XX stock, and it's been
lower than that. Yes, there are 'lumps' to secular growth and a
period of a year or more might be a better 'trajectory' indicator.
I've been adding some (500 INFN today @ $18.58) as I think if one
is patient this kind of buy will be a good bet. And I am patient.
Just a bit puzzled. But if I wait a while, I won't be puzzled
:-)
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