The restaurant stocks (and old economy stocks in general)
are a play on an economic recovery. I am not expecting to keep the
restaurant stocks for more than 15 months or so. As to CAKE, I
think it is a very popular restaurant. Before
the pandemic it was always full. The chart too looks bullish, so
tecgnically it has a decent chance to keep rising.
My thesis is that restaurants in particular will see
incredible pent up demand not just because people will do a lot
more dinning out once the vaccines are deployed en mass, but in
particular because the choices are going to be far fewer given that
so many small restaurants will never recover. So, they should
enjoy increased demand for both reasons.
To be sure, I am not a restaurant stock guru, far from it
and I may certainly have it all wrong. Because of it I have
not parked that much money in this sector. I also needed to
diversify a bit more given that my portfolio was very Tech
heavy.
In financials, I do have more money, I own both WFC and
BAC, and even though they are still lagging the market, I view them
as being very undervalued, I hope this provides a bit of stability
for my portfolio. So far even banks have been very volatile, but I
would expect that to decrease as the economy stabilizes and have
less risk at these levels than other sectors. I
too believe that rates will increase moderately, my reading and due
diligence tell me that the 10 year note could over the midterm (2
years) rise to the 1.25%, while modest, it is some 40 basis points
from current levels or a 47% increase. With all the money being
thrown from the proverbial helicopter, I believe that inflation
will make a modest comeback.