Jon,
Thanks for weighing in. Off the top of my head, and I may be
wrong about this, but in watching the options so far, as the stock
price drops, the amount of premium goes down,
but if one is buying new shares to sell calls on, the % earned
may be greater - one can spend less on the shares, and get a
greater % return on the bet. That may not be true - because
the bid/ask spread doesn't necessarily mean you'll get the
mid-point between them when you sell the calls. Or it might just be
my cognitive fogginess at the moment.
It does seem like a decent bet, based, as you note, on long term
prospects. But OTOH, one might hesitate based on market valuations.
However, CIEN trades at about 29x.
Nvidia, which I also own, rose another 7% today to $495,
sporting a 92x PE. Two analysts raised their PTs - one to $500, the
other to $550. EArnings are Aug. 19th. Around
August 30th, the CEO will hold an 'events' day, and very likely
announce a ship date for their new Ampere GPUs. That and datacenter
growth is driving the projections.
But 92X? The low for NVDA in the trailing 12 months is about
$160. Is 92X more absurd than 120X? Less absurd than 70X? Their
future prospects, like CIEN, I think are
very very good. But it's starting to feel like the dotcom bubble
all over again.