Jon,
I wonder whether there's hope of a dead-cat bounce - I have a
hard time evaluating whehter the news is properly reflected by the
25% hit the stock took today. On the face of it,
I'm trying to think of a rationale for holding it. And a
downstream question becomes - is this company specific or an
indicator of the sector? Both NOK and CIEN have mentioned
margins. So, is CIEN a raging buy in its sympathetic ~2.5%
downturn today, or will they also report issues with competitive
pricing? We may just have to wait until earnings, probably
late Nov/more likely early Dec. I'm loaded as I want to be on
CIEN, but the stock is cheap here if they're on the ball with 5g.
And I doubt we'd want to write calls from this price, as
buying CIEN and then writing calls would make more sense, unless
something unwholesome is lurking in their report.
And I was worried Intel might mess the bed. CNBC pointed out
that earnings before the announcement were around 11x, which seems
reasonably cheap. Although I (think) it's next
month that AMD releases it's EPYC? version 2 datacenter
chips.