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Author:

Jam ok

Subject:

Off Topic

Date:

02/01/18 at 5:23 PM CST

 

 

READ: 4

RPLY: 1

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Sentiment:

Neutral

OT - NOK to the moon

<p>NOK - OT - I'm puzzled as to why NOK's earnings shot the stock so far, so fast. Surprised on profit at .03 cents, said American market might see some demand to offset the slack demand seen elsewhere, the latter of which led them to lower 2018 guidance *yet again*. And another plus was that the transition of customers to NOK products from Alcatel ones was going better than it had been. And they predicted a pickup in business  in 2019-2020 - but without any numbers assigned to that, except to say (I think, working from memory) that profit margins would rise by about 3% or so. One analyst commented, and I see his point, that if you can't tell how business is doing in the short term (remember the CC where the stock lost 25% or terrible CC surprises?), that predicting things out in 2019 and 2020 seems dubious.</p> <p>So, we've got a great one-day moonshot rise - with a prediction for even poorer 2018 results. What to do? Sell? Stand pat? 2019 seems like a long way off. But then again, the idea has been rattling around my head for a couple months to perhaps sell a greater stake than the 1/2 of the position I sold post-terrible CC, and come back in when we're closer to some better times. The reason not to do so is plain as day today, as timing is obviously impossible.</p> <p>Or is today's rise just as simple as this: Perhaps the market expected this CC to be as bad or worse than the last one, and the positive surprises gave them Hilary's 'brain freeze' :-)</p> <p> </p>

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