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Re: EA in trouble with Star
Wars
Things are looking worse for EA and SWB2. The physical sales in
UK were down 60% from SWB1, but remember EA implied sell-in is
equal. Belgium just came out today ruling that loot boxes are
gambling and they'll be taking this further with the EU. At least
one or two other EU countries are seriously looking at it. Also
Hawaii came out today saying they're looking into legislation,
specifically calling out EA and SWB2 as an "online casino", also
saying they're talking to other States about the issue. This is
potentially bigger than just SWB2's sell-through. MTX are a huge,
huge part of EA's profits. If you consider Ultimate Team's $832M
revenue to have a 100% profit margin, and add in some contribution
from other games, then almost $900M of EA's $1,224M operating
income is from these loot boxes.
Ultimately, I don't think much will change. China and Korea
already have laws in place and Blizzard promptly circumvented them.
The main damage short term is perception of what could happen with
loot boxes, plus concern about gamer backlash which we may be
seeing with SWB2. Longer term, I think EA and others will just get
better at hiding the monetization levers, probably with no change
to income.
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