The money printing has kicked the can longer than I expected.
Just because everyone refers to the current environment as the "new
normal" doesn't mean it's normal though. We have extremely high
valuations, almost no volatility and seemingly nothing matters, and
markets everywhere have been distorted by the coordinated CB
buying. There is almost no price discovery any more, which is
completely irresponsible and has led us to this "everything
bubble". I think we'd have seen far more side effects if only one
CB was doing it, but they're all doing it. We can't really point to
gold and silver reflecting this because they are constantly
manipulated lower, though I see Bitcoin keeps soaring.
The CB's are like Sisyphus trying to push the world economy
uphill, against ongoing fiscal disasters (US budget and pension
shortfalls) and demographics changes, and look out below if they
ever step away, or are forced to back off.
It's utterly crazy to me that just a few short years ago people
were openly mocked as tin foil hat wearing clowns for suggesting
CB's were supporting equity markets, and now look where we are,
with major CB's openly buying shares and admitting they take cues
from the market too.
Speaking of valuations, wow at the likes of EA. With analyst
ests of $4.22 for March 2018 and $4.95 for March 2019, it's now
trading at over 23x earnings almost two years out! One of their big
franchises is now on hiatus too, Mass Effect, after the dismal
performance of Andromeda and subsequent layoffs at the studio.