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Re: Goldman Sacks Upgrades
INFN
Some bits and pieces on Goldman's upgrade of INFN:
Shares of beleaguered fiber-optic networking equipment
vendor Infinera (INFN) are up $1.05, or 10%, at $11.40,
after Goldman Sachs's Doug Clark this morning raised the shares to
Buy from Neutral, arguing that it's now a better bet than those of
competitor Ciena (CIEN), whose shares he cut to Neutral
from Buy.
There's a "product cycle story"
for Infinera, writes Clark, that's
going to "re-acclerate" its revenue over the next two years he
argues.
Clark predicts revenue
for Infinera will "bottom" this
quarter, and start to turn around in the second half of the year.
That's assuming M&A in the telecom world becomes less of an
overhang to telco spending.
The product story, as Clark sees it, starts with the
shipments in Q2 of something called "Cloud Xpress 2," a "data
center interconnect platform."
Then later that quarter comes the "XT-3300," which is a
"long-haul version of the CX platform," built on the fourth
generation Photonic Integrated Circuit," or PIC, the underlying
component that powers Infinera's
gear.
Then in Q3 come updates
to Infinera's "metro" products, the
"TM series."
Next year comes the "fifth generation" of the company's PIC,
notes Clark. The arrival of that technology will cut by more than
half the span of time between PIC updates, he notes, "which could
help it maintain a more competitive position within the
industry."
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