Jester, lt cap,
I certainly share your views on Trump's speech and his
behavior/words in general. The market seems to care not on the
specifics of what will be spent, where and how, and how it will get
passed. Market acts if as if all that is a 'done deal.' I think
infrastructure may have a chance, given that it will appeal to
Democrats. And to me, the shortness of memory isn't unexpected, but
gross none-the-less: All of the Republican establishment (Paul
Ryan, Mitch McConnell, etc.) either held Trump at (long) arm's
length in the campaign, or openly said they couldn't support this
dangerous clown. Not they're all sucking up to him, smiling and
nodding at every remark. Yeah, I understand that power draws in
everyone - the result is you get someone equivalent to Calingula
running the show and horrific events ensue. I do hope that at 'town
meetings', constitutuents continue to forcefully ask where their
representatives stand on substantive issuess, such as Obamacare,
giving the official some pause about what they'll support issues
that affects their re-electability. I'm somewhat afraid that
the 'opposition' (the people, not the press) will dissolve into the
same meaningless state that the Wall St. protest
movement experienced.
One interesting comment I saw said that the huge
'infrastructure" proposal did not include anything about internet
build-out. Not good for us. Altho I read another story where the
govt. might subsidize ISP's to bulid out their networks.
As for the 'enemy of the people', I think that's self
fulfillling prophecy, and wonder whether it is intentional or not:
Trump vilifies the press with outrageous lies about them, and does,
indeed, alienate most of the press outlets. When I read the
Washington Post now, every story reads like an editorial, critical
of Trump - right down to ridiculous stuff like Kellyann Conway
'disrespecting' the office of the President by lounging on a chair
Please. I wonder if Trump has brought this on consciously, so that
indeed, his constiuency believes the press is the continual liar,
prejudiced, and out to 'get him.'
Personally, things aren't so great: My pick of PANW got a 25%
haircut today, poor sales, poor strategy, perhaps losing customers
to Cisco. Despite CSCO's high price, I might consider moving
out of PANW, and take the $ and put it in CSCO. This is the 2nd
straigh quarter that PANW has basicallly said that their sales
force lacks a strategy, and it reminds me a bit like INFN, which
will languish for aperiod in working out their own problems.
Story today about ERIC partnering with CSCO on some (sounds
like) big projects. I believe lt cap said the he thought that was a
good match, even acquisition-wise. I'd rather not see ERIC getting
into a viable competitive position with NOK. But NOK has been
marching steadily north - my loss is half of what it was before. I
really can't tell whether it's Suri managing good news coming out
from NOK, or whether it's just rising with pretty much everything
else in the market.
Okay - the money question - how to people see this market? Are
we poised for a humongous drop, or can the market really support
these valuations? I understand that Trump's language about business
is a big driver, but as you've pointed out, it's sketchy
non-tangible proclamations so far.