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Re: OT - Trump and
market
lt cap,
Interesting article - thanks for posting it. Clear opinion,
based on PE vs. traditional valuation. And I would sign onto that -
except that most every logical argument has been confounded for
years now. So, as I've said before - what *should* be according to
stat analysis, simply hasn't occurred since the 2008 crash. Krugman
of the NY Times never stops gloating that his view of economic
stimuluous was a great idea seems to have worked. Yes, my gut says
I ought to put a lot of money on the sidelines. Will I? I'm unsure
about that. As I said the other day, the market has been
counter-intuitive for a long time. (Look at the prices of dividend
rich oil stocks.) Also- I'm a little leery of Ned...(forgot
the last part of the name - Davis?) analysis. Their track record on
stock analysis/recommendations isn't terribly accurate.
Watched Trump's inaugural speech. Now *that's* a powerful
argument to abandon the market. True to form, it was all about
'winning'. Coperation with other countries was rarely noted. That
apparently isn't part of his lexicon. So, if he carries this out,
and why wouldn't he - trade wars are in the offing, economic and
military cooperation with traditional allies turns into 'America
First' competition, and his goal (stated in the inaugural address,
applying also to the above) and his style becomes an agressive one
of competition, and Putin can watch it all unravel. Supposedly,
he's a Republican, and the Republicans control everything right
now. Paul Ryan, behind him and to his right in Trump's auguration
speech, had a broad smile of victory on his face. Except Trump
isn't really a Republican - he's the 'Trump party' beholden
to no one. Ryan may be just another pol who is headed for
Trump's guillotine (sp?), much like the French revolution in the
late 1700's. God help us. And God help the market, given that we
are all invested to different degrees.
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