I've shorted EA several times in the high $79's and covering for
a point or more. It's been in this $75-$80 range for a month now,
and aside from the typical CB buying to levitate all markets
regardless of deteriorating fundamentals, it's hard to make a case
for going higher. Did you read that soon the BOJ will be the top
shareholder in over 50 big Japanese companies? Madness, utter
madness.
It's interesting, EA said in their most recent earnings that
they aren't doing non-GAAP earnings any more. You'd think this
would help make parsing the numbers easier, but for the life of me
I cannot figure out how analysts report $3.55 non-GAAP guidance for
the year ending March. The GAAP guidance is $2.56. Even if we go
with the non-GAAP, at the recent highs of $80 that's 22.5x forward
numbers, which is much higher than the market average, which itself
is very high historically. If we assume the following year is
around $4, again using the higher non-GAAP figures, and say the
market prices that March 2018 figure in calendar Q2, $80 would
still be a slightly high multiple.
Can any of you explain how to get the $3.55 non-GAAP number
please?
investor.ea.com/
ATVI is in the $40-$43 range for the last month, and I'd be
interested in shorting it closer to the highs for a trade. or maybe
sell puts after a stops hunt if it goes below $40.
My speculative long recently has been VRX. If you believe
they'll stay in business, they're dirt cheap. IMO there has been a
long basing process in the low $20's, and there's the chance for
short covering, and some big sellers have already sold out and
likely many other potential sellers have also exited, so it could
easily run to $38 (recent highs twice) or even $60 (the low before
the March crash). No doubt there are many challenges, such as the
debt and the public/Congress pressure on drug pricing, but they're
priced in imo and are fodded for "not as bad as expected"
narratives later.