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ot - networkers
<p>OT - networking</p> <p>Seems to me that,
with some exceptions (Goldman's upgrade of NOK, Jeffries bullish on
INFN, etc.) the analyst community, and the market, is pretty
bearish on the sector. </p> <p>When I look at
other sector names that we've not discussed - they also seem to be
largely bumping around bottoms of 52 week lows. Juniper for
instance, that also just got a downgrade from buy to
hold.</p> <p>The bandwitdth-must-grow thesis is still
intact I think. I've not heard the rationale for negative outlooks.
The only thing I can figure is that given that global growth is
slowing, and that's a fact (Jester has pointed out that not only do
US gdp projections shrink as we get closer to them across time, so
do international outlooks), the assumption might be that bandwidth
demand will be a longer, more drawn out process than anticipated. I
can't really see another rationale.</p> <p>Brexit of
course adds to the worries. And if Trump were elected (a very low
probability event - unless Goldman left a McLaren in Hillary's
driveway after her talk to them), I think the markets would be so
volatile and negative on uncertainty that it'd be worse than
Brexit.</p> <p>So the sector seems to be fragile at the
moment. I was surprised to see NOK as low as $5.22 today, after my
buy yesterday. It could get a lot rougher before it's over. And I'd
expect go get some mileage long term, as NOK proves that the ALU
acquisition is producing the synergies and savings
promised.</p> <p> </p>
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