Barron's adds more color to the NOK upgrade by GS:
12:02 PM ET
Nokia
Rising: Cost Cuts and Synergies Underestimated, Says Goldman
Sachs
By Tiernan Ray
Shares of Nokia (NOK)
are up 12 cents, or 2%, at $5.66, after Goldman
Sachs’s Alexander
Duval raised his rating on the shares to Buy from
Neutral, with a $6.30 price target, writing that the company is
“about to enter its mostintensive
cost-cutting phase and management has historically
shown itself adept at delivering
efficiencies,” which should boost profits above
Street expectations.
Nokia shares are down 27% this year, he writes —
he’s referring to the ordinary shares traded in Helsinki,
with ticker “NOKIA.HE,”
in part because of a weaker-than-expected outlook for its main
“Networks” business. He thinks this is
too much, given Nokia has “limited EU macro
correlation,” and given margins have already
reset.
“We note consensus for FY16 Networks EBIT has fallen by
16% and group EBIT has fallen by 21% i.e. a significant earnings
reset since the start of the year,” writes Duval.
Duval also raises his estimates for the “synergies”
the company will obtain through its acquisition
of Alcatel, writing “Nokia has already
stated it can achieve >€0.9 bn in synergies by 2018, and
our updated analysis suggests it can achieve €1.15
bn.”
Duval’s estimate for this
year’s networks division revenue
goes to €23.06 billion from €22.977 billion, thanks to
higher mobile networks revenue. His Ebitda for the division goes to
€2.4 billion from €2.376 billion. For next year, he goes
to €23.737 from €23.65 billion in revenue, and to
€3.185 billion in Ebitda from €2.97 billion.