Jester,
Some thoughts on both your posts today.
The economic reality for many segments of the population
remains markedly mediocre to outright bad, depending on what
demographic we are talking about. Things are improving in a
painfully slow fashion with little prospects of accelerating. The
elderly and middle to lower classes have tons of impediments to a
decent standard of living.
It is because of this reality that the economy will only
grow in the low 2% range.
A push for better wages is IMO, not a bad deal given how
stagnant they have been for decades. It may not be intuitive
but it offers Wage Inflation and likely more money to flow
throughout the economy. Given where this economy is at now,
this may not be such a bad thing. It will allow people some
additional breathing room, so long as inflation does not run out of
control. There are questions of course: Is it going to create more
loss of jobs? I do not have a categorical answer . As
you know, conservatives insist higher wages do lead to higher job
losses, but liberals offer studies that contradict that. I
would guess the truth is somewhere in the middle. In addition
to globalization, I think technology has been as big a culprit in
job losses in the past 30 years.
The push for higher minimum wage
in California will take until 2023 or 7 years. I am not an
economist, but that seems to be a reasonable time frame for
business to prepare and adjust for the higher cost. Maybe,
just maybe, contrarian thinking is the way forward?