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Author:

Jam ok

Subject:

Off Topic

Date:

03/17/16 at 1:54 PM CDT

 

 

READ: 4

RPLY: 1

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Sentiment:

Neutral

Reply to:

MSG`#3496,`03/16/16
By LongTerm CapGains

 

Re: INTC: PC Trends getting worse

Warnings - INTC CAT -

lt cap,

I don't know why you and Jester are such negative noobs. Always looking at the worst possible scenario. Sure, CAT warned - and the forecast of ~.90 now cut to .65-.70 is a fact. But they're up almost $2 today. (Damn - I sold them for tax loss selling around $70 in Dec., thinking mining wasn't going anywhere soon - silly me.) But back to the point - in the future, everything will be great. CAT confirmed its full year outlook - and so the street is 'buying that' - altho it could be that, the full year projection is an'irrational number' - like in mathematics. Or maybe an imaginary number. Whatever. They could say whatever they want to douse the fire sale that might've happened if we only looked at the short term.

Same with INTC. I fail to undertand your long term ire over this stock. Yes, PCs are dying. But in the future, Intel's R and D will come through with technology that allows them to make blazing fast chips - out of common tapwater. Some people in Ethiopia may die of thirst because INTC's future fab there will monopolize the water supply. Just the cost of doing business.

But seriously, I don't know why the street believes CAT long term when their short-term prediction is so far off the mark. On INTC, I continue to be a beliver - perhaps a delusional one, but I think they're not burying their head in the sand - they're trying to transform themselves into a multi-dimensional company. It may not work - but I think it will. Also - this is just opinion - but there are emerging markets that INTC may have a nice part of - read some articles on VR devices - Occulus, Vive, etc. Said the 'suggested requirements are likely to be the 'minimum requirements', and the lowest ones are an INTC 4590 (others cited the new skylake - i6500 or 6600 and above), and an Nvidia GTX 980 or, possibly, an AMD R390X. Real world performance is likely to be needful of faster chips above those specs. Again, just my speculation, but just as playstation and xbox looked puny at introduction, I think VR will become wildly popular mainstream. AMD might actually benefit, as their cpus are in ps and obone   (but I don't think the current in-box chips can cut it - I may be wrong.)  In any case, I *think* holding INTC is a 'getting paid to wait' story. And so far, analysts seem to be buying the excuse of earnings shortfalls. Unfortunately, I have to admit that your prediction that if earnings of co's keep missing their targets, the analysts will have to come out of denial, and the Fed's 'lego' proclaimations (did you know that you can make anything out of legos?) such as 'extended' raising of rates will take another different shape.

And *waaay* of topic but interesting to me - read an Al Jazeera article that explained the popularity of Trump and Clinton in a way I had not heard before, and will never hear from first-world media: Essentially he said: Trump and Clinton are two sides of the same coin: Trump is the 'real' face of corporate America, while Clinton is the 'mask' of Wall St. and corporate America - essentially, she's the usual 'camoflaged disguise' of what Trump openly is. Americans love bargains - so why buy the 'fake' package, when you can get the 'real thing' on sale? Helps explain to me why I feel nauseous every time Clinton says she will fight for the middle class against the 1%, and thus make America 'whole' again. What a load of facetious crap. She is the 1%. Trump flaunts his being a billionaire 1%er. Which is scary and troubling. But at least he's not lying in that respect.

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