Warnings - INTC CAT -
lt cap,
I don't know why you and Jester are such negative noobs. Always
looking at the worst possible scenario. Sure, CAT warned - and the
forecast of ~.90 now cut to .65-.70 is a fact. But they're up
almost $2 today. (Damn - I sold them for tax loss selling around
$70 in Dec., thinking mining wasn't going anywhere soon - silly
me.) But back to the point - in the future, everything will be
great. CAT confirmed its full year outlook - and so the street is
'buying that' - altho it could be that, the full year projection is
an'irrational number' - like in mathematics. Or maybe an imaginary
number. Whatever. They could say whatever they want to douse the
fire sale that might've happened if we only looked at the short
term.
Same with INTC. I fail to undertand your long term ire over this
stock. Yes, PCs are dying. But in the future, Intel's R and D will
come through with technology that allows them to make blazing fast
chips - out of common tapwater. Some people in Ethiopia may die of
thirst because INTC's future fab there will monopolize the water
supply. Just the cost of doing business.
But seriously, I don't know why the street believes CAT long
term when their short-term prediction is so far off the mark. On
INTC, I continue to be a beliver - perhaps a delusional one, but I
think they're not burying their head in the sand - they're trying
to transform themselves into a multi-dimensional company. It may
not work - but I think it will. Also - this is just opinion - but
there are emerging markets that INTC may have a nice part of - read
some articles on VR devices - Occulus, Vive, etc. Said the
'suggested requirements are likely to be the 'minimum
requirements', and the lowest ones are an INTC 4590 (others cited
the new skylake - i6500 or 6600 and above), and an Nvidia GTX 980
or, possibly, an AMD R390X. Real world performance is likely to be
needful of faster chips above those specs. Again, just my
speculation, but just as playstation and xbox looked puny at
introduction, I think VR will become wildly popular mainstream. AMD
might actually benefit, as their cpus are in ps and obone
(but I don't think the current in-box chips can cut it - I may be
wrong.) In any case, I *think* holding INTC is a 'getting
paid to wait' story. And so far, analysts seem to be buying the
excuse of earnings shortfalls. Unfortunately, I have to admit that
your prediction that if earnings of co's keep missing their
targets, the analysts will have to come out of denial, and the
Fed's 'lego' proclaimations (did you know that you can make
anything out of legos?) such as 'extended' raising of rates will
take another different shape.
And *waaay* of topic but interesting to me - read an Al Jazeera
article that explained the popularity of Trump and Clinton in a way
I had not heard before, and will never hear from first-world media:
Essentially he said: Trump and Clinton are two sides of the same
coin: Trump is the 'real' face of corporate America, while Clinton
is the 'mask' of Wall St. and corporate America - essentially,
she's the usual 'camoflaged disguise' of what Trump openly is.
Americans love bargains - so why buy the 'fake' package, when you
can get the 'real thing' on sale? Helps explain to me why I feel
nauseous every time Clinton says she will fight for the middle
class against the 1%, and thus make America 'whole' again. What a
load of facetious crap. She is the 1%. Trump flaunts his being a
billionaire 1%er. Which is scary and troubling. But at least he's
not lying in that respect.