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Re: INFN and
CIEN
lt cap,
I agree with everything you've said. CIEN's quarter seem rather
good to my eyes, but I understand the guidance is what's killing
it. I can't see the guidance being that bad. The street is treating
this sector as though it's full of cybersecurity firms with
outrageous PE's that all are built on hope for growth. INFN falling
in sympathy seems ridiculous - their last CC was just fine. From
the price actions, you'd have to think the street thinks this
sector is in a secular decline, rather than the opposite.
I'm tempted to jump in but I'm already way overweight in CIEN
and INFN to a lesser degree. Of course, the stock I want to buy
now, CSCO lost 9 cents while the rest of the sector is in
'bloodbath mode.' I could still jump in, although Iv'e missed the
best bargains of the day. But when reason fails to rule, I ask
myself - why can't INFN revisit the $13's, if valuations in the
sector are just wacky-low. A bit like your dilemma on NOK -
you already have a ton, but buying opps do seem to come up.
But the market will do what the market will do. Long haul (no
functional pun intended) is the game.
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