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ATVI
Re ATVI, the recent weakness relative to EA has been
disappointing. As I've mentioned, I was selling covered calls at
$40. I think 2015 earnings will be strong thanks to better than
expected BLOPS3 sales. They also introduced MT to BLOPS3 a few
weeks after launch which will generate more free profit. Perhaps
the concern is 2016 guidance? What's going on with Destiny? Is
Candy Crush growing? There will be growth, they already said 30%
earnings accretion from Candy. Recent rumors suggest Destiny 2 may
not come out this year, and there's been no official timeline of
new content for the game. The player base is definitely down
significantly from a year ago, perhaps down by 75% based on
Bungie's own published player stats, and now with little or new
content coming in 2016 it leaves the door open for something like
Ubi's Division.
For 2016 guidance then, that one I can't answer. It comes down
to trusting in Kotick. Blizzard's Overwatch is coming soon and
presumably it will be a license to print money. If Kotick can
deliver on guidance, it's worth $40 imo.
forbes.com/si...ayers/
kotaku.com/th...495561
forbes.com/si...ungie/
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