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OT - networking et
al
<p><p>OT</p> <p>First off, say an
article in which a genius analyst said that patient investors will
be rewarded in this market, unless the US has a recession. Talk
about CYA.</p> <p>Not sure there's a good answer to
this question, but having bought a number of the optical networkers
on the way down, I wonder: What would a bear market for optical
networkers look like? One could answer 'just like this' - but
that ignores the undeniable secular trend that bandwidth can do
nothing but grow. So, I suppose one could answer - 'they're
undevalued - baby/bathwater deal' - but what I'm left wondering is
this: Is there a going-forward scenario under which the current (or
lower) valuations would be 'fair value'? Further capex spending
cuts by their customers? Short-term/long-term buildout plans
scrapped? Given that NFLX was up on subscriber growth, is that not
incongruent with beating these stocks like they're oil and gas
companies? Puzzling.</p> <p>Otherwise, the feeling of
amazement at how fast and how far stocks have fallen has a kind of
corollary - the amazement at the prices and speed at which the Fed
helped the DOW rocket to nearly 20,000. Did we just get 'used' to
skyrocketing stock prices/valuations without underlying substance?
Or is there really a 'Bear in the woods' - BRIC slowdown, strong
dollar, all the usual suspects now suddenly being paid attention
to.</p> <p>Ah, the DOW is now coming back from -500+ to
about -150. World economics must've changed since this morning.
INFN earlier almost 50% off its high? What?</p>
<p> </p> <p> </p>
<p> </p></p>
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