|
OT INFN
asymmetrical
<p>OT - INFN</p> <p>It seems we are back to
the dislocated puzzlement between INFN and CIEN. (Sorry, I've not
read the whole board, I've been away for a bit.) We know CIEN
crapped out badly in their earnings. (I can't get a clear picture
of how long they're in the dog house - for the year they guided
down? Was it bad enough to kill owning this stock? I'd think not
the latter given the secular trend, but the report was dismal, at
least for some time) </p> <p>The analyst's I've
seen: One downgraded it to 'perform', and the rest kept their
'outperform' or equiv. rating, but brought down their PT by a
couple of bucks. Could be the story is still intact, or it's
typical analyst behavior of taking a stock down in increments, so
as not to appear completely clueless. (I don't think it's this
dire, I'm just doing a little chicken little here.)</p>
<p>However, afterr the initial ~15% plunge of CIEN, it's INFN
that's getting beaten up a good deal more this week than CIEN is.
And MKM partners just put INFN as it's 'best pick' for 2016. How
very strange - except we've seen this kind of dislocation before.
I'm tempted to consider picking up more INFN here, which will make
me a bit top heavy. But months ago I was glad to buy @$18.60 when
it plunged there, so why am I hesitating to add here, except for
creating a bigger position than I'm quite comfortable with? The
most likely logical explanation is that it's guilt by association -
but INFN has no extant bad news associated with it. Only more so,
as they're beating up INFN worse than CIEN. Damn good puzzle - if I
were to bet, I'd bet that INFN's CC will be just fine. But I
thought that about CIEN, so I'm just a bit gun shy.</p>
<p>While I'm at it - thanks to Jester for recommending seeing
'The Wolf of Wall Street' - I hadn't seen it - hilarious - a must
see.</p> <p> </p> <p> </p>
<p> </p> <p> </p>
|
|