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OT - CIEN
options
I think I can answer my own question now - CIEN today announceed
an earnings CC date of 12/10. Weekly $24.50 calls rise at a fairly
puny rate, until the expy Dec. 4th - with a premium of ~.48 cents.
That rises sharply, comparatively sepaking to ~$.87 for the same
Dec. 11th options. Double your money is an interesting proposition.
I recall ALU having some soft rev figures in the last CC - assured
the analysts that it was not a slowdown in sales, just moving out
some revs from that quarter to this one from ATT. My guess is the
game that they need to have been clearly telling the truth. If not,
I'm sure they could finy any number of ways to fudge the numbers,
but it'd be a pretty see-through trick, I'd expect. My personal
belief is that they'll at least meet expectations, which I think
ought to support the stock here. I am aware of lt cap's
warning that there will be a slowdown in 2016 - can't quite recall
whether that was industry wide and global, or an ALU issue with
China in particular. In any case, it's not 2016 yet. And I hope the
Fed doesn't get around to manipulating the market again until after
Dec. 11th.
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