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China Meltdown
In my opinion the China meltdown could spread to
it’s highly inflated real estate market and beyond in the
Chinese economy (consumption could plummet), as margin calls would
eventually force fire sales in real estate and a general pull back
in all sorts of transactions. While real estate is not a
liquid asset, folks who have incurred large losses and margin calls
would eventually need to sell in order to raise cash and replenish
their bank accounts. Tough to know how much longer the
crash in the Chinese market will go on, however, the government is
fully engaged, which heightens the awareness of how critical it has
gotten. The Chinese Government is beginning to pull all the
stops to reign in the panic.
However, as we know governments are the ultimate backstop
for all deep crisis, I expect that at some point in time, bargain
hunters will come in droves and put a firm floor underneath it,
they just need a strong signal that the Chinese government means
business.
Re ALU: I have another 2K share limit order at the
low 3.30s
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