Jamok, I don't believe the recovery has been as robust as the
Govt stats or cheerleading media would have us believe. And the
short version response to you is I doubt anyone can foresee exactly
how this plays out. I believe you can't beat demographics with
money printing, as seen in Japan these past few years, and
demographics is against the US and Europe in coming years, at the
same time as globalization has pushed potential youth jobs in
manufacturing etc. into third world countries to enrich the 1%.
Jobs data is manipulated at best, fraudulent at worst. Remember
a few months ago we kept seeing news stories of tens of thousands
of layoffs in the energy sector but the official job stats showed
basically no change in that sector?
They tell us inflation is low and needs to rise to 2%. Have
these people eaten or shopped recently, or looked at their health
care bills, or paid property taxes or rent? I wish it's as low as
2%, that would be great.
Global debt is up around $57 TRILLION since the 2007/8 crisis,
and was it all worth it? Free market pricing has been destroyed by
the Fed, income inequality has widened, and Greece is a microcosm
of what's going on with the rest of the world. They've been
successfully kicking the can for years while things inside the
country keep getting worse, and they're running out of road. Weak
youth job prospects, crippling baby boomer social security promises
and demographics, rising debt, these are not things unique to
Greece. I found in 2 seconds of Googling:
How the Greek debt puzzle was solved
reuters.com/ar...120229
DATE: FEB 29,2012
How They Really Solved The Greek
Debt Problem, It does indeed appear that they have
finally managed to solve the Greek debt problem.
forbes.com/si...oblem/
DATE: NOV 28, 2012
As I said the other day this global ponzi has been fueled by
broke countries buying new debt from other broke countries,
facilitated by central bank academics winging it as they go, and
everything now hinges on global faith in the credibility of these
bankers. I fear that faith is starting to erode, as seen with the
US Fed constantly shifting goal posts to justify zero rates forever
in this "strong" economy which in Schrodinger style they constantly
praise in one breath and downgrade projections for in the next, and
with Japan's latest failed QE efforts (unless you measure success
by stock market return).
Did you know Belgium has been a big buyer of UST bonds? Third
biggest buyer in 2014 behind Japan (QE money printed buys) and
China. Belgium! 11M population. That's obviously a front to hide
the real buyers. I remember not so long ago when people thought it
crazy town talk that central banks would ever buy stocks, in secret
or otherwise. Now they're blatant about it. What used to be
unthinkable and conspiracy theory is now the new normal.
Interesting times.