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OT - With the drop in NOK,
the deal premium is now gone
<p>Other major ALU investors are quite likely to revolt
and ask for better terms. I sense a wave of pressure will
mount and NOK may have to offer a higher ratio than 0.55 shares of
NOK for each of ALU, or walk away from the deal. I think
NOK's only choice will be to sweeten it. I would guess the
ratio could be 0.65 just to bring the premium back to the level
when the deal was announced.
As I am thinking through this, I am wondering if my stance to
wait longer is the best way to play this. If NOK is pressured and a
higher bid is done, ALU shares should jump.
However, if ALU's own earnings are also weak, then the complaints
about the deal would also die down. I may just dip the toe in
the water and buy a few more ALY shares today, not yet sure.
Gotta let this news brew a bit more.
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