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Re: NOK is gettiong a great
deal
I acknowledge that my plan to hold is risky, but the risk is now
greatly mitigated. The resulting company will have a very
solid balance sheet, ALU has equal amounts of cash as it does
debt. However, NOK currently has a net cash position (i.e.
minus debt) of about $5B and with the Mapping division it probably
will add an aditional $2B to $2,5B It will be able to issue
corporate bonds with very low yeilds, more so now that the EU is in
QE mode. I expect the combined company to doa fair deal of
debt restructuring. The field of competitors is actually
quite low, much of that excess of start ups from back in the Dot
Com bubble have gone by the way side. Pricing for equipment
is actually firming up significantly, this deal just goes further
in helping that continue. ALU brings Switching and
Routing and this is the best segment in the company, it actually
competes quite well against the likes of Juniper (similar market
share) and Cisco (the dominant company in segment). ALU also
is doing a lot of R&D in the SDN area, if it manages to
position itself as a strong competitor CSCO and JNPR may lose
ground. That said, this is a far off thing, telcos like long
transitions, but it is a promising long term possibility.
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