Great couple of days for ALU, glad I
have accumulated 41K shares of ALU, the original shares were at a
bargain price in the 2.50s, could not be happier to see the due
diligence paying off.
I figure the sale of the wireless
unit should bring in at least $5B (one times revenue for that
division, maybe more), which would seal the turnaround for
ALU. The typical Price to Sales ratio in the Networking
Equipment sector is closer to 2, so I am thinking conservatively it
brings in $5B, anything else would be giving it away on the
cheap. The fact that the negotiations have been on and off
for years tells me ALU has stood its growung and now they may be
getting the money they wanted all along.
NOK It would give it all kinds of
options. If the sale goes through, a few that come to
mind:
1 Pay off Debt
2 or be able to issue bonds at much
reduced interest rates (should not be a problem now that the
balance sheet is solid) and extend debt period, thus reducing the
cost of capital
3 Invest more in R&D
4 Share buyback (not my first
choice, but an option nevertheless)
5 An eventual return to paying
dividends
6 Aquire a small company in the SDN
space
With this huge money injection, ALU
will have about 40% of its market cap in cash, a very strong
balance sheet.
ALU winning wireless contracts in
China give the wireless unit much more appeal to NOK, and should be
more valuable to them. Assuming the division has not had
great gross margins, it allows ALU to further reduce the drag on
gross margins and profits from a division with high costs.
NOK on the other hand will over time have an easier time laying off
some of the workers, thus extracting better gross margins than ALU
had been able to.